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Early diagnosis from newborn screening maximises survival in severe cystic fibrosis

Gloria Tridello, Carlo Castellani, Ilaria Meneghelli, Anna Tamanini, Baroukh M. Assael
ERJ Open Research 2018 4: 00109-2017; DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00109-2017
Gloria Tridello
1Centre for Cystic Fibrosis, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
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Carlo Castellani
1Centre for Cystic Fibrosis, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
2Cystic Fibrosis Centre, Gaslini Institute, Genoa, Italy
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Ilaria Meneghelli
1Centre for Cystic Fibrosis, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
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Anna Tamanini
3Clinical Chemistry and Haematology Laboratory, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
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Baroukh M. Assael
1Centre for Cystic Fibrosis, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Verona, Italy
4Internal Medicine Dept, Respiratory Unit and Cystic Fibrosis Adult Centre, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
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    FIGURE 1

    The 20-year overall survival was significantly higher in the newborn screening (NBS) group than in the symptoms group for each of the subgroups defined according to severity. In a) the severe group it was 85% in the NBS versus 64% in the symptoms group (p=0.007); in b) the moderate group it was 94% in the NBS versus 86% in the symptoms group (p=0.016); and in c) the mild group it was 98% in the NBS versus 93% in the symptoms group (p=0.6). Survival probability is presented on a scale from 0.5 to 1.0 for readability. HR: hazard ratio; OS: overall survival.

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  • TABLE 1

    Overall survival of children with cystic fibrosis diagnosed by neonatal screening or symptoms or with meconium ileus

    PatientsEvents#20-year survival % (95% CI)30-year survival % (95% CI)p-value¶
    NBS342 (100)3592.35 (88.03–95.16)80.11 (71.42–86.40)
     Sex
      Male167 (49)1591.86 (85.26–95.58)84.95 (74.51–91.35)0.3
      Female175 (51)2092.90 (86.14–96.43)73.70 (57.27–84.61)
     Pancreatic status at birth+
      Sufficient60 (18)196.15 (75.69–99.45)96.15 (75.69–99.45)0.10
      Insufficient281 (82)3491.75 (86.96–94.84)78.34 (68.99–85.18)
     Birth cohort
      1971–198030 (9)1074.90 (54.33–87.20)67.20 (46.26–81.47)0.2
      1981–199092 (27)1893.34 (85.78–96.95)79.89 (67.80–87.83)
      1991–2000119 (35)696.40 (90.68–98.63)
      2001–2014101 (29)1
    Symptoms143 (100)5082.98 (75.49–88.35)71.03 (62.21–78.15)
     Sex
      Male74 (52)2776.93 (65.10–85.19)69.58 (56.69–79.32)0.43
      Female69 (48)2389.29 (78.83–94.75)72.82 (59.89–82.19)
     Pancreatic status at birth+
      Sufficient48 (34)00.000.00<0.001
      Insufficient94 (66)4975.40 (65.07–83.06)58.50 (47.32–68.10)
     Birth cohort
      1971–198096 (67)4677.08 (67.32–84.27)65.22 (54.70–73.87)0.06
      1981–199031 (22)496.55 (77.95–99.51)84.69 (63.79–94.05)
      1991–200010 (7)0100.00
      2001–20116 (4)0
    Meconium ileus101 (100)1890.64 (82.04–95.24)71.77 (56.47–82.49)

    Data are presented as n (%) or n, unless otherwise stated. NBS: newborn screening. #: death due to any cause is considered an event; ¶: log-rank test; +: data were missing in one case.

    • TABLE 2

      Survival analysis of cystic fibrosis (CF) patients according to clinical severity in the first 3 years of life and diagnosis

      PatientsEvents10-year survival %
      (95% CI)
      15-year survival %
      (95% CI)
      20-year survival %
      (95% CI)
      p-value
      Overall survival#
       Severe
        NBS952398.84 (92.03–99.84)92.56 (84.17–96.59)84.93 (74.29–91.41)0.007§
        Symptoms342187.88 (70.86–95.27)72.73 (54.13–84.77)63.64 (44.95–77.46)
       Moderate
        NBS804100.0098.46 (89.58–99.78)94.48 (83.72–98.20)0.016§
        Symptoms4012100.0088.89 (73.05–95.68)85.93 (69.41–93.89)
       Mild
        NBS149699.29 (95.07–99.90)99.29 (95.07–99.90)98.21 (92.83–99.56)0.6§
        Symptoms581296.55 (86.91–99.13)96.55 (86.91–99.13)92.80 (81.92–97.24)
      Cumulative incidence of CF-related death¶
       Severe
        NBS95131.16 (0.17–8.16)6.22 (2.66–14.55)12.36 (6.66–22.92)0.0001ƒ
        Symptoms341912.12 (4.84–30.38)27.27 (15.62–47.61)36.36 (23.16–57.11)
       Moderate
        NBS8030.000.003.98 (1.02–15.48)0.01ƒ
        Symptoms40100.0011.11 (4.41–27.99)14.07 (6.24–31.75)
       Mild
        NBS14940.71 (0.10–5.00)0.71 (0.10–5.00)1.79 (0.44–7.28)0.2ƒ
        Symptoms5893.45 (0.88–13.46)3.45 (0.88–13.46)7.20 (2.80–18.53)
      Event-free survival+
       Severe
        NBS953398.84 (92.03–99.84)88.68 (79.34–93.95)79.76 (68.53–87.33)0.07§
        Symptoms342587.88 (70.86–95.27)72.73 (54.13–84.77)63.64 (44.95–77.46)
       Moderate
        NBS806100.0098.46 (89.58–99.78)92.68 (81.55–97.21)0.013§
        Symptoms4015100.0088.89 (73.05–95.68)85.93 (69.41–93.89)
       Mild
        NBS149899.29 (95.07–99.90)99.29 (95.07–99.90)95.78 (88.94–98.43)0.8§
        Symptoms581496.55 (86.91–99.13)96.55 (86.91–99.13)92.80 (81.92–97.24)

      Data are presented as n, unless otherwise stated. NBS: newborn screening. #: death due to any cause is considered an event; ¶: CF-related death is considered an event; +: death due to any cause and lung transplant were considered events; §: log-rank test; ƒ: Gray test.

      Supplementary Materials

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        Please note: supplementary material is not edited by the Editorial Office, and is uploaded as it has been supplied by the author.

        FIGURE S1 Cumulative incidence of death due to cystic fibrosis 00109-2017_figureS1

        TABLE S1 Univariate and multivariate analysis for severe and moderate groups 00109-2017_tableS1

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      Early diagnosis from newborn screening maximises survival in severe cystic fibrosis
      Gloria Tridello, Carlo Castellani, Ilaria Meneghelli, Anna Tamanini, Baroukh M. Assael
      ERJ Open Research Apr 2018, 4 (2) 00109-2017; DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00109-2017

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      Early diagnosis from newborn screening maximises survival in severe cystic fibrosis
      Gloria Tridello, Carlo Castellani, Ilaria Meneghelli, Anna Tamanini, Baroukh M. Assael
      ERJ Open Research Apr 2018, 4 (2) 00109-2017; DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00109-2017
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