TABLE 1

Outcome of virtual patients across simulations according to the operating rule and organ/receiver ratio

Received a transplantDied on the waiting list
ProportionTime since first enrolment monthsProportionTime since first enrolment months
For an organ/receiver ratio of 0.96
 Under the FIFO strategy95.1% (92.0–97.8%)1.2 (0–2.8)3.9% (1.9–7.0%)0.9 (0.5–1.6)
 Under the HELTx strategy95.2% (92.5–97.9%)2.1 (0.2–3.9)3.2% (1.6–4.6%)1.3 (0.2–2.3)
  Among which patients in high priority#69.7% (60.9–74.7%)1.6 (0.9–2.5)30.1% (25.3–38.9%)0.7 (0–1.8)
For an organ/receiver ratio of 0.80
 Under the FIFO strategy77.9% (75.7–80.2%)7.4 (6.2–8.3)18.4% (16.3–20.4%)3.7 (3.2–4.2)
 Under the HELTx strategy77.9% (75.2–80.3%)11.9 (9.7–14.1)14.8% (12.6–17.2%)6.2 (5.3–7.2)
  Among which patients in high priority69.5% (67.5–71.3%)5.4 (4.6–6.0)30.3% (28.6–32.3%)5.8 (4.4–6.5)

Data are presented as median (90% central range). FIFO: “first-in, first-out” rule; HELTx: high emergency LT system. #: 6.0% of HELTx, 90% central range 3.1–8.9%; : 25.0% of HELTx, 90% central range 22.1–28.3%.