TABLE 3

Models detailing associations between parental respiratory disease history, individual life-course factors and symptomatic airflow obstruction (outcome), by category (smoking, social class, asthma and others)

Life-course factorsModel 1aModel 1bModel 1cModel 1d
Smoking
 Parental respiratory disease history1.87 (1.21–2.89)*1.71 (1.09–2.68)*1.69 (1.08–2.64)*1.70 (1.09–2.65)*
 Passive smoke childhood1.46 (1.15–1.85)**1.23 (0.97–1.58)
 Adulthood smoking
  Ever smoker1.79 (1.34–2.38)***1.77 (1.33–2.36)***
  Persistent smoker4.93 (3.88–6.28)***4.81 (3.78–6.10)***
 Cumulative smoke exposure
  0 (never)1.00 (ref.)
  11.03 (0.67–1.59)
  21.14 (0.74–1.76)
  32.72 (1.80–4.10)***
  4 (persistent)5.33 (3.55–8.00)***
 Total indirect effects estimates (se)0.027 (0.014)0.104 (0.047)*0.117 (0.048)*0.123 (0.044)*
Model 2aModel 2bModel 2cModel 2d
SC
 Parental respiratory disease history1.88 (1.21–2.92)*1.82 (1.17–2.83)*1.80 (1.16–2.79)*1.76 (1.13–2.73)*
 At birth
  SC11.00 (ref.)
  SC21.15 (0.76–1.75)
  SC31.15 (0.86–1.54)
  SC41.30 (0.93–1.81)
 At 11 years of age
  SC11.00 (ref.)
  SC20.68 (0.43–1.08)
  SC31.13 (0.86–1.47)
  SC41.28 (0.95–1.73)
 At 42 years of age
  SC11.00 (ref.)
  SC21.34 (0.99–1.81)
  SC31.73 (1.30–2.31)***
  SC41.94 (1.44–2.62)***
 Cumulative SC1.09 (1.04–1.14)***
 Total indirect effects estimates (se)0.020 (0.015)0.051 (0.027)0.063 (0.022)**0.088 (0.028)***
Model 3aModel 3bModel 3cModel 3d
Asthma
 Parental respiratory disease history1.83 (1.18–2.83)*1.54 (0.96–2.47)1.53 (0.96–2.45)1.62 (1.03–2.55)**
 Childhood asthma2.17 (1.74–2.70)***1.30 (1.02–1.67)**
 Adulthood asthma6.12 (4.89–7.64)***5.59 (4.39–7.11)***
 Cumulative asthma
  0 (never)1.00 (ref.)
  12.53 (1.98–3.24)***
  2 (persistent)7.22 (5.44–9.59)***
 Total indirect effects estimates (se)0.041 (0.024)0.180 (0.052)**0.185 (0.053)***0.150 (0.048)**
Model 4aModel 4bModel 4cModel 4d
Others
 Parental respiratory disease history1.88 (1.21–2.91)*1.90 (1.22–2.94)**1.87 (1.20–2.90)*1.85 (1.19–2.87)*
 Low birth weight1.34 (0.87–2.05)
 Pneumonia (childhood)1.79 (1.16–2.77)*1.78 (1.15–2.75)*
 Occupational exposure1.39 (1.11–1.76)*1.39 (1.10–1.75)*
 Total indirect effects estimates (se)0.016 (0.014)0.008 (0.010)0.021 (0.014)0.029 (0.017)

Data are presented as OR (95% CI) unless otherwise stated. All models were adjusted for sex and recent chest infection (past 3 weeks prior to when spirometry was performed at age 45 years). SC: social class (SC1: professional/managerial; SC2: unskilled nonmanual; SC3: skilled manual; SC4: unskilled manual). *: p<0.05; **: p<0.005; ***: p<0.001.