First author, date [ref], origin | Description | Study population and attrition | CPET method and CPET parameters | Exclusion | Disease outcomes | Statistical methods to investigate CPET and outcome | Summary of key reported outcomes | Comments |
Triantafillidou 2013 [28], Greece | Prospective study evaluating prognostic role of 6MWT and CPET in IPF. Follow-up 9–64 months. | 25 pts with IPF | Cycle ergometer, pulse oximetry. VE/VCO2 slope, VO2 peak/kg, VE/VCO2 ratio at AT. | Significant PH (PASP >45 mmHg on ECHO), pts taking beta blockers. Pulmonary fibrosis due to environmental and occupational exposure, drug toxicity or autoimmune rheumatological disease. | Survival | Parameters of study were evaluated by Wald test, likelihood ratio test and the score (log-rank) tests with Bonferroni correction. Parameters achieving statistical significance were then evaluated in a multiple regression Cox proportional hazard model with a stepwise model selection. |
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Vainshelboim 2016 [29], Israel | Prospective observational study evaluating role of 12 week exercise training programme on survival at 40 months follow-up. Evaluation of the role of CPET variables in the prognostication of IPF. | 34 pts with IPF | Cycle ergometer, pulse oximetry. Peak VO2·kg−1, peak work rate, VE/VO2 nadir, VE/VCO2 ratio at AT, tidal volume reserve. | Non-IPF ILD. Clinically unstable in preceding 3–6 months, severe comorbid illness, unstable cardiac disease and any orthopaedic or neurological contraindications to CPET. | Mortality or transplantation | ROC curve analysis was used to determine cut-off points of CPET variables for mortality. Cox regression analysis for survival analysis and comparison between significant cut-off points (log-rank test). HR for death or LTx (Wald test). |
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King 2001 [23], USA | Retrospective analysis of clinical, radiological and physiological parameters predicting survival in IPF. Median follow-up 20 months (maximum 14.8 years). | 238 IPF pts with histological UIP. 80 pts excluded from the final model derivation. | Cycle ergometer, blood gas analysis. P(A-a)O2 corrected for FiO2, VD/VT, VO2, maximal workload. | CTD, left ventricular failure, occupational and environmental exposure, or history of drug exposure known to cause pulmonary fibrosis. Incomplete case records. | Survival (defined as death or time of censoring: censored if still alive at last contact n=79, received single LTx n=11, double LTx n=1, or heart and LTx n=1 or e) died from other cause than IPF (n=12). | Kaplan–Meier survival curves developed for group, stratified by sex, age and smoking status. Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis (adjusted for age and smoking) for each variable. Variables with p<0.25 included in multivariate analysis. Pearson's correlation to avoid multicollinearity. Forward elimination process used to develop preliminary model. Multivariable influential points removed. Composite scoring system developed, weighting categories according to p values and HR, and using Akaike's information criteria. |
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Miki 2003 [21], Japan | Retrospective study: evaluation of the predictive value of CPET for IPF respiratory deaths. Mean follow-up 2.7 years (7.2 months–9.0 years). | 41 IPF pts. | Exercise treadmill (Sheffield protocol). PaO2, PaCO2, HR, respiratory frequency (f), Vt, VE, peak VO2, VE/VO2, VE/VCO2, VO2/HR, AaDO2 and PaO2 slope. | CTD, sarcoid, OP, EP, HP, cardiac disease, anaemia, primary cardiac disease, PVD, cancer, pleural/chest wall disorders including respiratory muscle weakness. Steroid or immunosuppressive treatment prior to study entry. Death from a non-respiratory cause during follow-up. | Respiratory death | Exercise parameters (between groups split by PaO2 slope) compared using Mann–Whitney. Univariate Cox proportional hazards model to compare initial parameters then entered into multiple regression analysis using stepwise evaluation. Relationship between PaO2 slope and other variables were analysed by linear regression with stepwise technique. Survival times compared using Kaplan–Meier curves and statistical significance determined by log-rank test. |
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Fell 2009 [24], USA | Retrospective study evaluating prognostic value of CPET in IPF. Mean follow-up not reported. | 117 IPF pts. 10 pts excluded from survival analysis as VO2 max changed between baseline and 6 months. | Cycle ergometer. Blood gas analysis. Peak VO2·kg−1 | Patients with CTD, occupational or environmental exposure, histological pattern other than UIP. | Survival | Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models studied the predictive value of peak VO2 adjusting for age, gender, smoking status, baseline FVC% and baseline DLCO%. Resulting HR were plotted against peak VO2 to determine thresholds. Survival thresholds examined with Kaplan–Meier survival curves, log-rank tests and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. |
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Wallaert 2011 [22], France | Retrospective multicentre study evaluating prognostic role of CPET in determining 3-year survival in IPF. | 63 IPF patients | Cycle ergometer. Blood gas analysis. Peak VO2·kg−1, VE/VO2 at ventilatory threshold, VE/CO2, (VO2/HRR), P(A-a)O2, ventilatory reserve and lactate. | Non-IPF associated ILD. Pts in which blood gas analysis had not been performed. | 3-year survival (absence of D or LTx). | Demographic data, resting pulmonary function and CPET parameters in the survivors were compared to those who died/received lung transplantation by univariate survival analysis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis explored prognosis at 3 years. Kaplan–Meier curve and log-rank test was performed, with model validation by ROC curve analysis. |
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Gläser 2013 [18], Germany | Retrospective study evaluating predictive value of CPET measures for the presence of PH in IPF. Follow-up 2 years. | 135 pts (73 with PH) IPF. No follow-up data for 2 pts, reducing cohort to 133. | Cycle ergometer, pulse oximetry. Peak VO2, VO2 at AT (mL·min−1), VE/MVV, VE versus VCO2 slope, VE max, Vt max, Vt max/IC, VE/MVV. | Pts with left heart disease (ECHO ± PWP>14 mmHg by RHC), non-IPF pulmonary fibrosis and/or PH resulting in a life expectancy <24 months, inability to perform CPET due to orthopaedic or neurological impairment. | Interceding pulmonary hypertension. Survival (death and lung transplantation combined endpoint) | Mann–Whitney or chi-squared test used for comparison of IPF pts with/without PH. Cox proportional hazards analysis used for pulmonary variables and endpoint. Kaplan–Meier survival plots constructed with differences in survival analysed by log-rank test. Cut-off values for best discrimination determined using ROC curve analysis. |
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van der Plas 2014 [20], Netherlands | Retrospective study exploring predictive value of CPET and ECHO parameters for survival in IPF. Mean follow-up 42.3 ± 42.2 months. | 38 pts with IPF. Follow-up for 3 pts who received transplantation was censored at date of transplantation. | Cycle ergometer. Peak workload (% predicted), VO2 peak (% pred), VE peak (% pred), breathing reserve (%), HRR peak (% pred), VE/VCO2 ratio at AT, VO2/HRR (% pred), ETCO2 at max (kPa). | Non-IPF ILD. Pts where CPET and ECHO were performed more than 2 weeks apart. | Survival | Pearson's correlation coefficients were calculated for sPAP and CPET parameters. Patients were grouped into those with/without sPAP ≥40 mmHg and differences in exercise parameters analysed with unpaired t-test or chi-squared test. ROC curve analysis was used to determine variables that predict sPAP ≥40 mmHg. Kaplan–Meier survival curves then evaluated the prognostic value of these parameters on survival. HRs were calculated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models (with FVC and CPI included in the model to correct for functional severity of IPF) to determine predictive value of parameters on survival. |
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Kollert 2011 [25], Germany | Retrospective study evaluating whether gas exchange during CPET reflects disease activity and clinical course in sarcoidosis. 2 year follow-up. | 149 histologically confirmed sarcoidosis. Analysis of 102 patients (47 incomplete notes). | Cycle ergometer, capillary blood gas analysis. P(A-a)O2 | Patients who could not complete CPET >6 min, in the absence of extra-cardiopulmonary limitations. Patients with clinical signs of acute infection. For the longitudinal subgroup analysis: patients with incomplete records. | Longitudinal component: duration of immunosuppressive therapy (no treatment, treatment ≤1 year, treatment >1 year) | Associations between sarcoidosis clinical parameters (including the need for prolonged immunosuppressive therapy >1 year) and
P(A-a)O2 during exercise were assessed by analysis of variance statistical methodology. Univariate then multivariate backward binary logistic regression analysis used to assess clinical variables independently associated with need for prolonged immunosuppression. |
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Lopes 2012 [26], Brazil | Retrospective study to identify CPET measures that predict FVC and DLCO progression over 5 years in patients with thoracic sarcoidosis. | 42 pts with histologically confirmed sarcoidosis. | Cycle ergometer, blood gas analysis. Peak VO2 (% pred), % peak VO2 at lactate threshold, VCO2/VO2, VO2/HRR, maximum respiratory rate, breathing reserve, HRR, P(A-a)O2, ΔSpO2, Δlactate. | History of smoking. Mycobacterial infection, exposure to aero-contaminants or medications known to cause granulomatous disorders. Those with known medical history or laboratory diagnosis of concomitant respiratory, cardiac or neuromuscular disease. | Decline FVC% and DLCO% | FVC/DLCO variation over study period evaluated by Wilcoxon signed rank test. Correlations between CPET measures and FVC/DLCO variation over 5 years used Spearman's rank correlation (except breathing reserve and relative variations of FVC). ROC curve analysis used to determine cut-offs for CPET measurements are predictors for lung function decline. MLR used to identify factors independently related to decreased lung function. |
| Retrospective, single-centre study. Potential for selection bias (tertiary centre for sarcoid - more likely to have severe patients). Small number of patients resulting in high RR values. Cardiac circulatory status not determined. |
Layton 2017 [7], USA | Retrospective study evaluating predictive value of CPET for 1-year transplant-free survival in a population of ILD patients undergoing lung transplant evaluation. | 192 pts had CPET performed on oxygen. Four tests terminated due to oxygen desaturation (nadir SpO2 <80% despite 30% FiO2). Three tests terminated early due to low ETCO2 (<18 mmHg) or elevated ETCO2 (>60 mmHg), reducing cohort to 185 pts. | Cycle ergometer, pulse oximetry. Peak VO2 (mL·kg−1·min−1, % predicted), workload (watts, % predicted), VE/VCO2 slope (% predicted), ETCO2 mmHg and O2 pulse. | Pts not being evaluated for lung transplant, those that did not require oxygen with exercise, no follow-up data available at 1 year post-CPET. | Survival without the need for transplantation (at 1 year). | Comparison of variables between those who died / transplanted (D/LTx) and those who survived transplant-free were compared using two-sample independent t-test. Survival was calculated by Kaplan–Meier method, with univariable Cox regression analysis to identify predictors of 1 year transplant-free survival. Multivariable Cox model with forward stepwise elimination method to identify prediction of transplant-free survival (and to predict survival excluding those transplanted). ROC used to test thresholds of these predictors. |
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Kawut 2005 [19], USA | Retrospective study of CPET and 6MWTD variables associated with survival in pts referred for lung transplant. Median follow-up 271 days (23–983). | 51 pts with IIP or DPLD of known cause (e.g. drugs, occupational or environmental exposures, CTD) referred for lung transplant. | Cycle ergometer. Pulse oximetry. SaO2 (unloaded, peak, recovery), peak VO2·kg−1, VO2/HR peak, VCO2 unloaded, VE unloaded. | Pts evaluated at another lung transplantation centre. Other forms of DPLD, e.g. LAM, pulmonary Langerhans cell histiocytosis/histiocytosis X, EP and granulomatous DPLD, e.g. sarcoidosis. | All-cause mortality. Death on the lung transplantation waiting list. | Cox proportional hazards regression to identify predictors of time-to-death. Individual models were constructed using LTx as a time-dependent covariate to “control” for receiving a LTx. ROC curve analysis was used to define cut-off for variables associated with dying on the transplantation list. |
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Swigris 2009 [27], USA | Retrospective study exploring prognostic role of SpO2 and SaO2 at rest and during maximal exercise in SSc-ILD exercise. Median follow-up 7.1 years. | 83 patients with SSc-ILD | Cycle ergometer. Blood gas analysis and pulse oximetry. SpO2 and SaO2 at rest and during maximal exercise (SpO2 max). VO2 max measured but not reported. | Pulmonary hypertension, overlap syndromes. | Mortality | Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the prognostic capabilities of SpO2, dichotomised by <89% or ≥89% and also as continuous variables. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were generated. |
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Abbreviations: ΔSpO2: difference between peak and resting oxygen saturation; 6MWTD: 6-minute walk test distance; AaDO2: alveolar–arterial oxygen pressure difference; AT: anaerobic threshold; AUC: area under the curve; BR: breathing reserve [1 – (VE during exercise/MVV)] × 100; CI: confidence interval; COP: cryptogenic organising pneumonia; CPET: cardiopulmonary exercise testing; CPI: composite physiologic index; CTD: connective tissue disease; CXR: chest X-ray; D: died/deaths; DLCO: diffusion capacity of lungs for carbon dioxide; DPLD: diffuse parenchymal lung disease; ECHO: echocardiogram; EP: eosinophilic pneumonia; ETCO2: end tidal carbon dioxide; FiO2: fraction of inspired oxygen; FVC: forced vital capacity; HP: hypersensitivity pneumonitis; HR: hazard ratio; HRCT: high-resolution computed tomography; HRR: heart rate; IC: inspiratory capacity; ILD: interstitial lung disease; IPF: idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; LAM: lymphangioleiomyomatosis; LTx: lung transplantation; max: maximal; MLR: multiple logistic regression; MVV: maximum voluntary ventilation (can be measured or estimated as FEV1 × 41); OR: odds ratio; PaCO2: partial pressure of carbon dioxide; PaO2: partial pressure of oxygen; pts: patients; NSIP: non-specific interstitial pneumonia; P(A-a)O2: alveolar–arterial oxygen pressure gradient at peak exercise; PH: pulmonary hypertension; pred: predicted; PVD: peripheral vascular disease; PWP: pulmonary capillary wedge pressure; RCT: randomised controlled trial; RHC; right heart catheter; ROC: receiver operating characteristic curve; RR: respiratory rate; SaO2: oxygen saturation of arterial blood; sPAP: systolic pulmonary artery pressure; SpO2: oxygen saturation measured by pulse oximetry; SSc: systemic sclerosis; TLC: total lung capacity; UIP: usual interstitial pneumonia; VCO2: carbon dioxide production; VD/VT: physiological dead space/tidal volume ratio; VE: minute ventilation; VE/VCO2: ventilatory equivalent for carbon dioxide; VE/VO2: ventilatory equivalent for oxygen; VO2: oxygen uptake; VO2 slope: PaO2 plotted against VO2; VO2/HRR max or oxygen pulse: oxygen delivery per heartbeat; VT: ventilatory threshold (highest VO2 sustained without lactic acidosis); Vt: tidal volume; tidal volume reserve: Vt max-Vt resting.