Estimated cumulative excess deaths and relative increase as compared to 2019, over the period 1 January to 30 April 2020, stratified by health protection agency (HPA), age or sex
| Disease | HPA Bergamo | HPA Brescia | ||
| Estimated excess number of deaths (95% CS) | Estimated increase (n-fold) in the number of deaths (95% CS) | Estimated excess number of deaths (95% CS) | Estimated increase (n-fold) in the number of deaths (95% CS) | |
| Total | 5740 (5552–5936) | 2.55 (2.50–2.61) | 3703 (3535–3877) | 1.93 (1.89–1.98) |
| Sex | ||||
| Female | 2471 (2346–2601) | 2.28 (2.21–2.34) | 1724 (1609–1851) | 1.82 (1.77–1.88) |
| Male | 3269 (3134–3414) | 2.86 (2.78–2.94) | 1980 (1862–2103) | 2.06 (2.00–2.13) |
| Age-class years | ||||
| <60 | 157 (120–203) | 1.55 (1.42–1.72) | 113 (80–155) | 1.46 (1.33–1.64) |
| 60–69 | 549 (496–612) | 2.70 (2.53–2.89) | 318 (274–374) | 2.01 (1.87–2.18) |
| 70–79 | 1520 (1429–1618) | 3.03 (2.91–3.17) | 920 (845–1009) | 2.16 (2.07–2.27) |
| 80–89 | 2398 (2283–2525) | 2.70 (2.62–2.79) | 1463 (1361–1577) | 1.94 (1.87–2.01) |
| 90+ | 1116 (1033–1212) | 2.20 (2.11–2.31) | 888 (807–981) | 1.84 (1.76–1.93) |
The summation of the estimated number of deaths within sex or age categories might not equal the total estimated excess, since stratified estimates are derived from separate models.