TABLE 3

Predictors of treatment failure (hospital admission for patients treated with oral corticosteroids for COPD exacerbation in a primary-care setting (Cohort 1), hospital readmission for patients hospitalised due to COPD exacerbations (Cohort 2))

PredictorCohort 1Cohort 2
HR (95% CI)p-valueHR (95% CI)p-value
Subjects n248210 245
Blood eosinophil count per 100-cells·µL−1 increase0.26 (0.12–0.56)<0.0010.78 (0.63–0.96)0.020
Male1.53 (1.19–1.98)0.0011.15 (1.03–1.29)0.016
Age per 10 years1.24 (1.17–1.32)<0.001
Underweight, BMI <18.5 kg·m−22.29 (1.53–3.43)<0.0011.41 (1.17–1.70)<0.001
Smoking habits
 Current smoker1.74 (1.04–2.91)0.034
 Ex-smoker1.66 (1.02–2.71)0.042
Cardiovascular disease2.18 (1.61–2.95)<0.001
COPD exacerbations per 1 increase1.12 (1.07–1.17)<0.0011.09 (1.06–1.12)<0.001
mMRC dyspnoea scale score
 Maximum score1.69 (1.05–2.70)0.0301.28 (1.06–1.55)0.012
 Missing#1.25 (1.06–1.48)0.008
FEV1 % pred
 <30%1.36 (1.15–1.62)<0.001
 Missing#1.26 (1.09–1.45)0.008
Triple therapy prescribed1.19 (1.05–1.34)0.005

HR: hazard ratio; BMI: body mass index; mMRC: modified Medical Research Council; FEV1: forced expiratory volume in 1 s.#: patients without monitoring data; : triple therapy consisted of inhaled corticosteroids, long-acting β2-agonists and long-acting muscarinic antagonists.