TABLE 3

Outcomes post-week 28 by clinically important deterioration (CID) status at week 28 (definition including St George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) or COPD Assessment Test (CAT))

CID-positiveCID-negativeDifference (CID-positive versus CID-negative)
Definition including SGRQN=7008#N=3055#
Annual rates (95% CI)% increase in rate (95% CI)
 Rate of exacerbationsn=5860,+n=2729,+
  Moderate/severe exacerbations after week 280.94 (0.90–0.98)0.54 (0.49–0.58)75 (60–92)§
  Severe exacerbations after week 280.14 (0.12–0.16)0.07 (0.06–0.09)96 (56–147)§
Patients with event (%)% increase in risk (95% CI)
 Time to first exacerbationn=5864,+,ƒn=2732,+,ƒ
  Moderate/severe exacerbations after week 281900 (32)548 (20)72 (56–89)§
  Severe exacerbations after week 28391 (7)99 (4)79 (43–123)§
 Time to all-cause mortalityn=5887n=2732
  All-cause mortality after week 28##77 (1)23 (<1)55 (−3–147)¶¶
LS mean CFB (95% CI)Difference (95% CI)
 Trough FEV1 at week 52 mLn=5359n=2557
9 (2–15)152 (143–162)−143 (−155– −132)§
 SGRQ total score at week 52n=5298n=2516
−2.4 (−2.7– −2.0)−9.8 (−10.3– −9.3)7.5 (6.8–8.1)§
 CAT score at week 52n=5218n=2482
−1.2 (−1.3– −1.0)−3.3 (−3.5– −3.0)2.1 (1.8–2.4)§
Definition including CATN=7304#N=2759#
Annual rates (95% CI)% increase in rate (95% CI)
 Rate of exacerbationsn=6150,++n=2439,++
  Moderate/severe exacerbations after week 280.92 (0.88–0.96)0.54 (0.49–0.58)72 (56–89)§
  Severe exacerbations after week 280.15 (0.13–0.17)0.08 (0.06–0.10)91 (50–142)§
Patients with event (%)% increase in risk (95% CI)
 Time to first exacerbationn=6153,ƒ,++n=2443,ƒ,++
  Moderate/severe exacerbations after week 281959 (32)489 (20)68 (52–86)§
  Severe exacerbations after week 28402 (7)88 (4)78 (41–125)§
 Time to all-cause mortalityn=6176n=2443
  All-cause mortality after week 28##82 (1)18 (<1)80 (8–200)§§
LS mean CFB (95% CI)Difference (95% CI)
 Trough FEV1 at week 52 mLn=5632n=2284
14 (7–20)156 (146–167)−142 (−155– −130)§
 SGRQ total score at week 52n=5565n=2249
−3.2 (−3.6– −2.9)−8.6 (−9.2– −8.0)5.4 (4.7–6.0)§
 CAT score at week 52n=5502n=2198
−0.9 (−1.1– −0.8)−4.1 (−4.4– −3.9)3.2 (2.9–3.5)§

COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; N: number of patients with CID status available at week 28; LS: least squares; CFB: change from baseline; FEV1: forced expiratory volume in 1 s. #: number of patients who deteriorated on any of the CID components up to week 28 (CID-positive) or who did not deteriorate on any of the CID components up to week 28 (CID-negative) (if a patient has all missing on-treatment assessments for an end-point (trough FEV1, SGRQ and CAT) up to the time-point of interest, CID status was considered as missing for that patient, end-point and time-point); : excludes those patients who discontinued prior to week 28; +: seven patients were excluded from the analysis due to missing covariates (CID-positive n=4; CID-negative n=3); §: p<0.001; ƒ: number of patients included in the Kaplan–Meier estimates; ##: post hoc analysis of all-cause mortality including off-treatment data following additional collection of vital status (providing data for 99.6% of the IMPACT trial population); ¶¶: p>0.05; ++: seven patients were excluded from the analysis due to missing covariates (CID-positive: n=3; CID-negative: n=4); §§: p<0.05. Positive differences in CAT score ≥2 units or SGRQ total score ≥4 units and negative differences in trough FEV1 ≥100 mL in magnitude indicate sustained clinically important worsening between the CID-positive and CID-negative subgroups (difference in change from baseline greater than the corresponding minimal clinically important differences [11, 12, 26]).