Diagnostic performance of the models derived from the training cohort and applied to the validation cohort (n=137)
AUC (95% CI) | Threshold | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | NPV | PPV | |
Model 1 | 0.61 (0.52–0.71) | 0.55 | 0.69 (0.50–0.80) | 0.54 (0.36–0.68) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
Model 2 | 0.70 (0.61–0.77) | 0.46 | 0.86 (0.57–0.95) | 0.46 (0.28–0.58) | 0.70 | 0.69 |
Model 3 | 0.67 (0.58–0.76) | 0.71 | 0.45 (0.22–0.59) | 0.86 (0.68–0.93) | 0.53 | 0.82 |
Model 4 | 0.61 (0.51–0.71) | 0.57 | 0.64 (0.35–0.76) | 0.61 (0.37–0.72) | 0.57 | 0.68 |
Model 5 | 0.70 (0.62–0.79) | 0.71 | 0.42 (0.22–0.54) | 0.89 (0.70–0.98) | 0.52 | 0.85 |
Model 6 | 0.71 (0.61–0.80) | 0.37 | 0.88 (0.65–0.97) | 0.42 (0.24–0.54) | 0.74 | 0.66 |
Model 7 | 0.70 (0.61–0.79) | 0.64 | 0.55 (0.33–0.68) | 0.83 (0.54–0.92) | 0.59 | 0.81 |
Model 8# | 0.73 (0.65–0.82) | 0.70 | 0.52 (0.21–0.64) | 0.91 (0.63–0.96) | 0.60 | 0.88 |
AUC: area under the curve; NPV: negative predictive value; PPV: positive predictive value. #: best performing model.