Chest
Volume 153, Issue 1, January 2018, Pages 105-113
Journal home page for Chest

Original Research: Diffuse Lung Disease
Predictors of Mortality in Pulmonary Sarcoidosis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chest.2017.07.008Get rights and content

Objective

The goal of this study was to assess the prognostic strength of factors in predicting respiratory death in a large cohort of patients with sarcoidosis with at least 8 years’ follow-up.

Methods

Data were collected on age, sex, self-declared race, time of death, spirometry findings, diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide, chest radiograph stage, extent of fibrosis on high-resolution CT (HRCT) scanning, and presence of precapillary pulmonary hypertension (PH). The Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) index and Walsh model criteria for high vs low risk were calculated.

Results

A total of 452 patients were identified who had complete pulmonary function testing and chest imaging. The median age at time of entry into the study was 50 years (range, 25-78 years). PH was confirmed by right heart catheterization in 29 (6.4%). Of 452 patients, 42 died during the time of the study, including 38 (8.4%) who died of sarcoidosis-associated respiratory failure and 4 who died of non-sarcoidosis causes. The overall mortality from sarcoidosis was 3.9% and 9.0% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Alive patients were significantly younger than patients who died from sarcoidosis. Increased mortality was seen for black patients, stage 4 chest radiographs, > 20% fibrosis on HRCT scanning, or PH. The two composite scores (GAP and the Walsh model) were predictive of increased mortality according to univariate analysis. Using the Cox proportional hazards regression model, only age, extent of fibrosis on HRCT scanning, and PH were independent predictors of mortality.

Conclusions

Although most patients with sarcoidosis do well, increased mortality was seen in those patients who were older, had extensive fibrosis on HRCT scanning, or who had PH.

Section snippets

Patients and Methods

All patients seen at the University of Cincinnati Sarcoidosis Clinic seen between 2002 and 2008 with recorded spirometry and Dlco measurements were evaluated. Serial data collected at each clinic visit included vital signs, current medications, and most recent pulmonary function study results and chest roentgenogram reports. The diagnosis of sarcoidosis was confirmed according to the American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society/World Association of Sarcoidosis and Other Granulomatous

Results

A total of 452 of the 1,606 patients seen in the University of Cincinnati Sarcoidosis Clinic between 2002 and 2008 met the criteria for evaluation. The median age at time of study entry was 50 years (range, 25-78 years). Table 1 describes the sex, self-declared race, and organ involvement assessed by using the WASOG criteria.22 Although the lung was the most common organ involved, many patients exhibited extrapulmonary manifestations. In addition, 29 (6.4%) had precapillary pulmonary

Discussion

Over the past 40 years, the number of deaths attributed to sarcoidosis has increased.5, 6 In one study of death certificates, pulmonary fibrosis was a contributing factor in many of the sarcoidosis-associated deaths.5 Cardiac issues such as coronary artery disease were also contributing factors: however, the presence of sarcoidosis was protective from having a cardiac etiology contributing to death except in patients aged 35 to 44 years. In addition, that study found that < 2% of patients who

Conclusions

This study examined potential factors predictive for increased mortality from sarcoidosis. We found that advanced age along with either extensive pulmonary fibrosis or pulmonary hypertension were independent predictors of mortality. It seems unlikely that one feature will identify all patients who will die of pulmonary sarcoidosis. Therefore, scoring systems that combine features to predict respiratory death are appealing. We confirmed that the prognostic model developed by Walsh et al20

Acknowledgments

Author contributions: R. P. B. takes responsibility for (is the guarantor of) the content of the manuscript, including the data and analysis. G. K. and R. P. B. had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis, including and especially any adverse effects. All three authors contributed substantially to the study design, data analysis and interpretation, and the writing of the manuscript.

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    FUNDING/SUPPORT: The authors have reported to CHEST that no funding was received for this study.

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